4-6 million Apple Mac computers expected to sell this year

January 13, 2013

Using a bevy of analysts predictions, it has been predicted that between 4 milling and 6 million Mac computers, including MacBooks, iMacs and Mac Minis, will sell in 2013.

Fortune reporter Philip Elmer-Dewitt did the leg work, studying 54 analysts projections and finding the median number (about 5.2 million). If this number holds true, it would be an 8 percent growth from a year ago.

There’s no reason to believe that Apple wouldn’t be able to hit those numbers. This past year, Apple expanded its Retina display Mac lineup by offering a 13-inch version. It also completely refreshed its Macbook Air lineup, and released a ridiculously thing iMac in 21.5- and 27-inch versions.

It’s also been reported this week that a supply issue preventing large quantities of the 27-inch version from being manufactured and sold is finally starting to let up.

In terms of Mac sales, here’s a quick outlook from Forbes:

  • The December 2011 quarter had 14 weeks vs. 2012’s 13 weeks
  • A new 13 inch MacBook Pro with a Retina display was announced on October 23 and became available the same day
  • New iMacs were announced on October 23 and became available on November 30
    • The 21.5 inch iMac has a 7 to 10 day lead time
    • The 27 inch iMac has a three to four week lead time
  • Portables were 74% of fiscal 2012 shipments and 80% of the September quarter so it is more important to be able to project portables vs. desktops

Do you plan on buying a new Mac this year?

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